Nebraska Population Trends

Jenny Nixon Author

10/04/2024 Added

1 Plays

Description

Extension Educator Shawn Kaskie discusses Nebraska population trends.

Searchable Transcript

Search:

[00:00:00.000]and also serving as interim program leader for Rural Presbyterian Nebraska. So I'm just here
[00:00:04.220]for a few minutes and then I'm heading off to my next stop. So good to meet all of you.
[00:00:09.240]Awesome. Sally. Hi, I'm Sally Saad and I'm the Director of Business Services at Phelps County
[00:00:19.320]Development Corporation. Awesome. Cheryl. Good morning. Cheryl Hyatt, Nebraska Department of
[00:00:27.460]Economic Development. I'm the Director of Field Operations. Bill. Philip Jensen. Yeah, I'm here.
[00:00:40.120]I had to get off mute or whatever. Philip Jensen, Great Plains Communication in the wonderful snowy
[00:00:45.840]northwest Nebraska Shadron. Awesome. Marla, and would you introduce your guest since she said
[00:00:51.760]she's having trouble with her audio? I will. This is Marla Marks. I work for USDA Rural
[00:00:57.340]Development Corporation. I'm the Director of Business Services at Phelps County Development
[00:00:57.440]I cover the 11 counties in the Panhandle and the 12 counties in the Southwest Corner. I've
[00:01:03.700]invited Jolene Jones. She works for Rural Development out of our Kearney office and
[00:01:09.280]she's having some audio issues today. Well, welcome Jolene, just in spite of that. Let's
[00:01:17.120]see, Carrie. Carrie Remp, Northwest Nebraska Tourism Director for Dawes and Sioux Counties.
[00:01:27.420]Good morning, Lauren Sheridan Simonson with the Village of Clearwater and the City of
[00:01:35.660]Neely Economic Development. Joni, good to see you.
[00:01:44.980]Can you hear me? Can you hear me? Yes. All right. Good morning, everybody. Joni Jesperson
[00:01:49.780]from Mobius Communications and Hemingford Cooperative Telephone Company. Mylon. Mylon
[00:01:57.400]Wall. I'm with the Heartland Center for Leadership Development. Our office is in Lincoln. Deb.
[00:02:03.400]Deb Cotty, you're NNDC, which is the Economic Development Office in Shadron, Nebraska.
[00:02:09.360]Mike. Mike Burge with Ballantyne Economic Development in the Heart City.
[00:02:16.580]Connie. Connie Schell. I'm the Mayor of Crawford. Jamie. Jamie Bright. I'm the
[00:02:27.380]Rural Prosperity Nebraska Extension Educator for the Southern Panhandle. And I think we have you
[00:02:34.040]all beat for the amount of snow today. Today, yes. You can keep it. Chelsea.
[00:02:40.040]Chelsea Herrian, Boxview Development Corporation, serving Alliance and Hemingford.
[00:02:47.660]Cheryl. You're muted, Cheryl.
[00:02:57.360]Sorry about that. About six inches here. Cheryl Burkhardt Creaser with Rural Prosperity in
[00:03:01.840]Nebraska. And today, located in Burleigh. Awesome. Brandy. Hi, Brandy O'Malley. I'm
[00:03:11.120]with SourceLink Nebraska, and we serve the whole state. And Paula. Paula Abbott, Western Nebraska
[00:03:20.380]Community College, and I cover the Alliance and the Sydney Territory. Awesome. I don't
[00:03:27.340]see anybody else that I think I've missed. And I'm sure you're all here because we managed to
[00:03:33.580]snag Sean in between things. He's, you know, this over here and the class over there. And
[00:03:39.680]so he's offered to squeeze us in. My guess is the weather kept him from needing to drive to
[00:03:45.360]Lincoln though today. So helped us with his timeframe. That is true. That's true. Yep. So
[00:03:52.880]I know Mike's working with me on eCommunities, a couple other programs. And so
[00:03:57.320]and then I had Columbus is one of my other eCommunities programs and they had their chamber
[00:04:03.360]meet this morning. I had that before my evaluation. And so last later, but I don't have to drive to
[00:04:08.180]Lincoln. I got out of that. So I'll attend remotely there. Well, we've been waiting for this
[00:04:13.980]presentation because Sean, you teased us with it a little bit back in, I don't know, November,
[00:04:18.260]December. And I had to go to NASA, which is meet rub shoulders with the legislatures. So
[00:04:27.300]they have to do that sometimes. So that, that superseded you guys meeting with the Senator.
[00:04:32.880]Sorry. But Jenny, could I ask you to pull it up and then I'll kind of talk through there.
[00:04:41.260]Okay. It'll take me just a jiffy.
[00:04:43.380]Here we are.
[00:04:57.280]Get it into a mode we can use here.
[00:05:00.580]I'm kind of working remotely from the Buffalo. I'm in Kearney,
[00:05:05.700]Buffalo County Extension Office this morning. And so I'm not home and I'm not from my Broken
[00:05:13.560]Bow office with the dual screens. So, but what I'm going to mostly talk about today
[00:05:20.940]is population trends, mostly from the most recent census.
[00:05:27.260]Results. And most of the data you'll see that I'll get from these slides are provided by David
[00:05:35.940]Draws, who used to work for the Nebraska Center for Public Affairs Research at UNO. David has
[00:05:42.840]moved on to another entity. He still does data analysis for this other, as a nonprofit in Omaha.
[00:05:49.020]And if you guys still want similar research, I believe there's a Morgan that has replaced
[00:05:57.240]David recently. And Josie Schaefer is the director of CPAR. Josie Schaefer. And she still,
[00:06:03.960]they still work on this stuff. So if you like what you see today, one, a little commercial for CEC,
[00:06:10.040]Josie is going to be presenting at two sessions at the Connecting Nebraska,
[00:06:14.500]Connecting Entrepreneurial Communities Conference in Columbus, April 27th and 28th.
[00:06:20.400]And Jenny, has that registration link been shared with the RR group yet?
[00:06:24.780]Nope, but we'll do that today.
[00:06:27.220]Okay, so Jenny is going to share the registration link
[00:06:30.920]for the Connecting Entrepreneurial Communities Conference in Columbus, April 27th and 28th.
[00:06:37.100]And there, Josie Schaefer, on the first afternoon,
[00:06:39.580]will be presenting one on something similar to what I'm going to share today,
[00:06:43.080]but with more of an economic development twist.
[00:06:45.520]So most of you on the phone are in the economic development sphere.
[00:06:48.360]You're going to like that.
[00:06:49.600]And then they also did a survey of chambers of commerce that the CPAR did.
[00:06:55.400]And so that's the other session.
[00:06:57.200]That Josie is going to present on in April.
[00:07:01.480]And if you guys don't make it there.
[00:07:03.260]And one of you made it.
[00:07:05.000]And said that hey we still want to get this.
[00:07:08.280]I think we can get Josie to present to this group.
[00:07:10.600]You know later on.
[00:07:11.840]You know if you can't make it to the live thing.
[00:07:14.640]In Columbus here in a month or so.
[00:07:17.440]So with that we'll move on to the next slide there.
[00:07:20.080]And so most of you know how extension works.
[00:07:27.180]We got a few of our my colleagues on the phone.
[00:07:28.880]Cheryl and Jenny and Jamie.
[00:07:30.260]Am I missing anybody else of our extension colleagues?
[00:07:33.380]And we all kind of work from the rural prosperity Nebraska.
[00:07:36.740]But we have educators that work in other program areas.
[00:07:40.100]The learning child with childhood education.
[00:07:42.400]Beef systems of course.
[00:07:43.500]Most of you know about 4-H.
[00:07:45.060]And community environment.
[00:07:46.300]They do some community planning stuff and placemaking.
[00:07:48.700]And then of course we have nutrition educators.
[00:07:50.820]And then cropping systems.
[00:07:52.260]And so we all as you know most of us.
[00:07:56.280]We try to have.
[00:07:57.160]Local relationships.
[00:07:58.080]We focus in these different areas.
[00:08:00.120]And we try to do projects with communities.
[00:08:02.980]And our teaching is always integrated.
[00:08:06.180]And interdisciplinary.
[00:08:06.840]Move on to the next one there.
[00:08:08.700]And so a little bit of background on RPN.
[00:08:11.860]And most of you on the phone know this.
[00:08:13.220]Is that our new RPN was a combination of what was.
[00:08:16.060]The Nebraska Rural Futures Institute.
[00:08:17.440]And what was the community vitality.
[00:08:19.740]Is now a rural foster in Nebraska.
[00:08:21.440]This is kind of an old hat one.
[00:08:23.680]Again I was presenting this.
[00:08:25.440]I presented this in December.
[00:08:27.140]To the Nebraska Rural Electric Association.
[00:08:30.060]And most of those folks.
[00:08:31.520]The REA boards had no clue about RPN.
[00:08:34.160]So I had to give them a little bit of background.
[00:08:35.580]So we can go through quickly.
[00:08:37.640]Through these ones here.
[00:08:38.640]The RFI was about scholarship.
[00:08:41.460]And us as CVI educators.
[00:08:43.340]Were about engagement.
[00:08:44.080]And the reason we do these things.
[00:08:46.780]Is to create a vibrant and successful.
[00:08:48.660]Community and foundation.
[00:08:49.940]And so you guys.
[00:08:51.820]This is preaching to the choir here.
[00:08:52.980]We don't need to spend too much time on this one.
[00:08:54.520]I don't think.
[00:08:54.900]And so we do.
[00:08:57.120]We do this through community engagement.
[00:08:58.320]With a number of programs.
[00:09:00.000]One of which.
[00:09:02.100]And I don't know Jenny and Jamie.
[00:09:04.240]If we're still taking applications.
[00:09:06.300]But if you would like your own student.
[00:09:07.680]To help with RPN type stuff.
[00:09:09.260]You need to apply very soon.
[00:09:11.040]So you can see some students.
[00:09:12.460]Working with low communities.
[00:09:13.580]There's.
[00:09:14.420]Oh Jamie says.
[00:09:15.440]Yes we are.
[00:09:16.160]So if you would like.
[00:09:17.620]A student to help for 10 weeks.
[00:09:19.540]To help with your.
[00:09:20.560]Local community development goals.
[00:09:23.120]Implementing goals or projects.
[00:09:25.960]This is a great opportunity.
[00:09:27.360]At a very low low price.
[00:09:28.860]Of $6,000 plus housing.
[00:09:31.100]To have a student come and help.
[00:09:32.980]Implement some goals that you might already have.
[00:09:35.540]So if you want to know more about that.
[00:09:36.840]Right there on the website.
[00:09:38.420]Or let one of us know.
[00:09:40.020]And we'll get you the website.
[00:09:41.680]That's my commercial for the RPN fellows.
[00:09:44.120]You can move on.
[00:09:47.500]Next one thanks.
[00:09:48.200]And here's the map where we're all spread out.
[00:09:50.400]Jamie I don't even have your photo in this map.
[00:09:52.640]See so you're out there.
[00:09:54.540]Her name is covered.
[00:09:57.180]This is horrible.
[00:09:57.760]I'm sorry Jamie.
[00:09:58.580]I see Amanda's name is covered.
[00:10:01.280]No picture for her.
[00:10:02.280]We do have someone starting in southwest Nebraska.
[00:10:04.800]Help me with her name.
[00:10:07.540]Cheryl, Jenny.
[00:10:08.380]She starts May 1st.
[00:10:11.040]Brandy.
[00:10:13.900]Thank you Mylon.
[00:10:15.440]Brandy starts.
[00:10:17.580]She won't have all those great counties.
[00:10:20.120]We're going to I think find a program leader that will serve.
[00:10:22.740]North Platte, McPherson and Logan.
[00:10:24.340]Those three counties in the middle.
[00:10:27.060]But she'll have most of those ones in the southwest.
[00:10:29.080]Starting May 1st.
[00:10:30.960]And our Butler County one is filled now too.
[00:10:33.820]Yes.
[00:10:34.480]Starting next month April.
[00:10:36.100]We have Maria.
[00:10:38.220]Maria Cantu is her name.
[00:10:40.320]Yes.
[00:10:40.860]Thank you.
[00:10:41.360]So we're getting close to back to being full.
[00:10:43.620]Not so many orange spots and actual people.
[00:10:46.060]All right.
[00:10:48.280]We'll move on to the next one.
[00:10:49.320]And then we do this work in cooperation with our engagement zone
[00:10:55.520]corporate for rural.
[00:10:57.040]Rendezvous group.
[00:10:57.760]Most of you know, Rob.
[00:10:58.820]And then Jay's up in Valentine 40 Kilgore.
[00:11:02.420]And then Brian kind of comes out West as well.
[00:11:05.800]He lives in Kearney and then Ben's down in McCook for most of this
[00:11:09.260]rural rendezvous group.
[00:11:10.260]And we do these in the pillar, the focus areas.
[00:11:13.440]We are overall.
[00:11:14.440]Our role is community engagement.
[00:11:16.260]We want to have relationships with all the folks like you that are on
[00:11:18.820]the phone.
[00:11:19.260]That's the overall community engagement girl.
[00:11:22.240]We also have these other pull up our pillar areas.
[00:11:25.100]So those of us on the phone are,
[00:11:27.020]are maybe on two or three other teams.
[00:11:29.060]And I believe Cheryl,
[00:11:31.060]you're the leader of the people attraction team.
[00:11:33.860]Is that right?
[00:11:34.420]And you can kind of see some of the things they work on with specific
[00:11:38.140]programs and Kim Wilson.
[00:11:39.920]She's out of UNL.
[00:11:40.980]That leads the placemaking group.
[00:11:42.460]But I think a couple of us that are on the call are also on that team.
[00:11:46.060]And then regional food systems.
[00:11:48.080]They do a lot with farmer's markets,
[00:11:49.680]but some other really interesting programs.
[00:11:51.520]And have we had somebody speak on that in the past in real rendezvous,
[00:11:54.760]real regional food systems has been spoke.
[00:11:57.000]If you're, if you guys are interested in that,
[00:11:58.980]that'd be another future topic for real rendezvous regional food system.
[00:12:02.200]There's some really interesting things there.
[00:12:03.660]Don't have the time to go into that today. And then of course,
[00:12:07.000]the one community economic development today,
[00:12:09.280]we're going to kind of focus on the data side of community economic
[00:12:12.740]development analytics.
[00:12:13.660]But we have some other programs that not kind of going to go into today.
[00:12:17.840]And then of course, community leadership programs,
[00:12:20.820]that might be a chamber economic development.
[00:12:22.400]We have a lot of supports for that as well. And so that's not the topic.
[00:12:26.660]This is just,
[00:12:26.980]just like that. So I was talking about RPNs. We'll move on from there.
[00:12:29.980]The side, please, Jenny.
[00:12:34.240]I'm working. There we go.
[00:12:35.860]There we go. Keep scrolling through.
[00:12:38.100]So this is where I give credit to my friend, David draws,
[00:12:41.540]who was the lead data coordinator. He is the census data nerd.
[00:12:46.940]So he'll own that title from here to the next year.
[00:12:51.100]And one of the things that the state legislature,
[00:12:55.120]they have a team of folks,
[00:12:56.960]it's called and you can see in small print down there at the bottom,
[00:12:59.420]the legislative research office at the, in the state Capitol.
[00:13:03.800]They basically take,
[00:13:05.300]took this new census data from the 2020 census and they use that to kind of
[00:13:10.500]advise where the populations were throughout the state of Nebraska.
[00:13:15.680]And so I'll talk a little bit more about that too.
[00:13:19.360]So this is based on the most recent census data. The final reading,
[00:13:23.480]the LB three, they made these new census map and I'll,
[00:13:26.060]we'll talk a little bit,
[00:13:26.940]about that as well but those topics where we're going to cover here in a
[00:13:31.540]little bit, Jenny, well, the next one, that's okay.
[00:13:33.820]So the first topic here is about the 2020 census.
[00:13:36.180]Go ahead and scroll through these Jenny.
[00:13:38.520]We did really good on the total response. And so
[00:13:44.040]the only,
[00:13:46.680]the only state that had higher response rates than Nebraska were Minnesota,
[00:13:51.480]Washington, Wisconsin.
[00:13:52.300]So we did pretty good with the fourth highest response rate and then the
[00:13:56.920]with follow-up, we,
[00:13:57.900]we got about 99% and we were only the fifth highest.
[00:14:02.920]So even did better than we did in the 2010 census with our responding.
[00:14:07.400]And obviously COVID caused some problems, you know, with the follow-ups,
[00:14:12.780]but we,
[00:14:13.480]we still did a nice job of getting folks to respond to the census because
[00:14:19.740]as I'll talk about later is every vote counts.
[00:14:22.920]It literally counts financially, right?
[00:14:24.740]Like the amount of federal dollars,
[00:14:26.900]coming back state and federal dollars coming back to areas depends on
[00:14:30.980]being counted in the census.
[00:14:32.580]So not only did Nebraska do well overall,
[00:14:36.680]we, the United States average of 67%.
[00:14:39.060]So Midwesterners, we did a good, do a good job of,
[00:14:42.620]of doing our fair share here.
[00:14:44.660]This is probably one of my favorite slides.
[00:14:46.360]If you go ahead and scroll through all of them,
[00:14:48.020]I'm going to spend a couple of minutes kind of going through all the pieces
[00:14:52.860]here. I can't remember what they all are. So forgive me here.
[00:14:56.880]There we go.
[00:14:57.280]So Nebraska population growth has been grown steadily and now equals for the
[00:15:02.740]first time.
[00:15:03.640]Basically since we've been keeping track of the census,
[00:15:10.060]the Nebraska population growth has caught up to the national average.
[00:15:14.360]That is a big deal. You guys. So more than a hundred years,
[00:15:18.180]more than a century, we have the Nebraska population change,
[00:15:22.440]has not been up to the national average. That's the red line is Nebraska.
[00:15:26.860]And we finally caught up in the 2020 census to our rate, right?
[00:15:33.840]That's the rate, not total population.
[00:15:36.040]Our rate has caught up to the U S and that is a big deal.
[00:15:40.560]And so this better performance has allowed us to keep our third congressional
[00:15:46.100]seat. And I'll come back to this later, but there's this magic number.
[00:15:50.060]It's called the four 35 cutoff. It's like,
[00:15:54.200]I think it's like 435,000.
[00:15:56.840]And we went from being at 417.
[00:16:01.340]You don't want to get to that 435 number. So in 2010,
[00:16:04.640]we were at 417. And if you don't get, if you get to that 435,
[00:16:09.280]that's when you lose one of your federal seats.
[00:16:12.080]So you don't want to get to there. And we went down to 415,
[00:16:15.140]which is the correct difference to 20.
[00:16:18.320]And so that's the first time in over 50 years that we've made,
[00:16:23.120]we've improved our performance as far as keeping that third census seat.
[00:16:27.640]But it looks good. And as you see in the top right there,
[00:16:30.740]Nebraska is in a good position to keep all three of our seats for the,
[00:16:34.500]for the next census in 2030. So really good news, you guys.
[00:16:38.040]I'll talk a little bit about the dynamics of how we're,
[00:16:41.380]we've improved in that rate.
[00:16:43.380]And that's the kind of a bittersweet pros and cons thing.
[00:16:46.400]And so if you want to know one more button here, Jenny, please,
[00:16:50.620]if you want to know a little bit more, there's a little tiny URL.
[00:16:54.660]They'll get there today. And so here,
[00:16:56.800]where you can also see other sort of good news is that our expected
[00:17:00.620]population in the top, right.
[00:17:02.120]Was supposed to be six.
[00:17:04.480]Our projected population was supposed to be 6.7%.
[00:17:08.560]And if you'll look down at the bottom of the list on the bottom,
[00:17:12.500]right of the sheet, we actually hit 7.4%.
[00:17:16.100]So we exceeded our expected growth rate in the last decade.
[00:17:19.940]We were expected to be at 6.7%.
[00:17:21.940]We hit a 7.4%.
[00:17:23.940]That moved us up in the range.
[00:17:26.780]We moved our rankings to 21st in the percent change
[00:17:30.060]with 135,000.
[00:17:32.800]And you can see in the map on the left
[00:17:34.860]that it still kind of puts us in the middle of the categories.
[00:17:39.500]We're not as fast as growing as some of the North Dakota.
[00:17:44.300]Again, a lot of that is attributed
[00:17:45.920]to their natural gas growth.
[00:17:48.480]And then you have your amenity states,
[00:17:51.120]your mountain states, Utah and Idaho and Nevada.
[00:17:53.500]Those were around, their growth was around amenities in Texas.
[00:17:56.760]They were in that tax fight with California
[00:17:59.380]and they tried to recruit it pretty hard.
[00:18:00.820]And there's a big Hispanic influx in Texas as well.
[00:18:04.680]So that's the big growth in those particular states.
[00:18:06.800]But if I could go back up to the little map
[00:18:11.660]on the top right of here,
[00:18:12.920]you guys will see that how we're doing pretty good
[00:18:17.200]compared to our neighbors, right?
[00:18:18.520]So even though that says it was a 6.7,
[00:18:20.240]our actual was 7.4.
[00:18:21.860]And you can sort of see that we did better
[00:18:25.160]than most of our neighbors.
[00:18:26.740]Didn't quite do South Dakota,
[00:18:27.940]but we're doing better than Iowa and Missouri and Kansas.
[00:18:33.580]And from a workforce perspective,
[00:18:35.500]that's the big name of the game, right?
[00:18:36.900]My friends in economic development,
[00:18:38.680]we want to be doing, we need people, bodies and workers.
[00:18:42.980]So that's some good news
[00:18:44.840]if we kind of compare to our neighboring states
[00:18:47.080]as far as the workforce competition goes.
[00:18:49.840]We might come back to this slide at the end
[00:18:52.600]for these questions,
[00:18:53.100]because it's kind of an important one.
[00:18:54.600]But for now, we'll go on.
[00:18:56.720]I'm going to scroll through all of those.
[00:18:59.220]And so this is kind of the bittersweet one
[00:19:02.620]for most of, one more back.
[00:19:04.280]The most of that population gain
[00:19:08.460]has been in our Metro and I-80 communities, right?
[00:19:13.220]So the Omaha Metro, you can see Douglas,
[00:19:15.280]they call them the big three.
[00:19:16.700]That's Douglas, Sarpy, and Lancaster County.
[00:19:19.220]Omaha and Lincoln, the big three
[00:19:20.600]is what they call those.
[00:19:23.080]And so that's kind of the bittersweet one
[00:19:26.700]that's where both they had net,
[00:19:28.440]both net migration in both the 2000s and the 2010s.
[00:19:33.060]So when I say 2000s,
[00:19:34.280]they're talking about between 2000 and 2010.
[00:19:37.280]And the 2010s, that means between 2010 and 2020.
[00:19:41.060]That's what that means there.
[00:19:42.220]And that's 10 counties in red.
[00:19:44.140]And then there was net out migration
[00:19:47.760]and net in migration.
[00:19:50.240]That's the white ones,
[00:19:52.140]a lot of the I-80 corridor counties
[00:19:54.420]and those on the fringe of the metros.
[00:19:56.680]And the Kearney County,
[00:19:58.980]which is Minden, south of Buffalo there.
[00:20:01.020]And then Keith County, Okalala,
[00:20:02.280]which is closer.
[00:20:02.900]They had net out migration,
[00:20:06.480]but not also net in migration more recently.
[00:20:09.080]So that's good news for Keith County and Okalala.
[00:20:11.640]And so Hooker County, I'll get to that one.
[00:20:15.280]Deb, that's related to the development
[00:20:18.560]around the Sandhills Golf Course.
[00:20:20.400]Does that make sense?
[00:20:21.760]So there's been some housing around there
[00:20:25.360]and in a small population,
[00:20:26.660]county like Hooker County,
[00:20:28.300]it doesn't take only but five or six families
[00:20:31.860]to really change that population rate.
[00:20:35.260]Does that make sense?
[00:20:36.360]You can unmute and talk, that's okay.
[00:20:39.100]So when you're a small population county
[00:20:43.240]and you get six families to move in within a decade,
[00:20:46.100]that's gonna really make a big,
[00:20:47.800]that's gonna change your color on this particular thing.
[00:20:51.200]So most of the rural rendezvous area is in the gray,
[00:20:54.780]which is a slight decline,
[00:20:56.640]still not bad.
[00:20:57.440]So we'll come back to some of this here in a bit.
[00:21:00.800]So let's move on to the next slide.
[00:21:04.420]So when we break this,
[00:21:10.900]get away from,
[00:21:11.560]one more back, sorry.
[00:21:12.740]When we break this,
[00:21:14.100]get away from the counties
[00:21:15.260]and start talking about communities or the towns,
[00:21:17.620]right, the municipal areas.
[00:21:19.300]183 of the Nebraska's 525 municipalities,
[00:21:24.540]the towns increased in population
[00:21:26.620]that is also an improvement.
[00:21:28.960]It was 35% in the 2020 census.
[00:21:32.060]That was only 27% or 142 communities
[00:21:36.020]in the 2010 census.
[00:21:37.360]So that's good.
[00:21:38.120]And then we had 161 that lost 10% in 2000,
[00:21:42.320]but still better than the 205.
[00:21:45.920]So in the 2010 census,
[00:21:47.280]we had 205 communities in the state
[00:21:50.660]that lost 10% of their population.
[00:21:52.420]That was bad.
[00:21:53.000]And then in the last census,
[00:21:54.980]we had 161 communities
[00:21:56.600]that lost 10% of the population
[00:21:58.980]in that period.
[00:21:59.700]And, you know,
[00:22:00.880]Prague and Saunders County
[00:22:02.020]is the average.
[00:22:03.020]This little picture on the bottom
[00:22:05.520]shows how our median size,
[00:22:08.140]if you pick the 529,
[00:22:09.820]the middle community in population
[00:22:12.340]only has 291 people.
[00:22:15.940]So that shows Nebraska is rural
[00:22:18.200]because out of 529 municipalities,
[00:22:21.680]the middle one has a population of 291.
[00:22:26.580]And that's Prague and Saunders counties.
[00:22:28.100]So that means we have 99 towns
[00:22:33.080]with less than 100 people.
[00:22:34.140]And I know we have a few of those out West.
[00:22:36.040]So we'll talk a little bit more
[00:22:38.220]about that in a bit here as well.
[00:22:39.680]And the population growth rates has,
[00:22:44.160]of course, in cities has increased
[00:22:46.480]in various categories.
[00:22:49.660]And one thing that I wanted to know,
[00:22:52.640]is there, can you push one more button here?
[00:22:55.260]I think there's some, yep.
[00:22:56.560]There we go.
[00:22:56.900]So this is the one I kind of wanted.
[00:22:58.860]Does it go on more?
[00:22:59.880]Nope.
[00:23:01.280]Back up there, please.
[00:23:02.120]There it goes.
[00:23:02.480]Just hold it right there for a second.
[00:23:03.600]So as you can expect,
[00:23:06.160]that our smallest communities,
[00:23:07.740]if you look at the red bars there,
[00:23:10.640]500 to 99 in the middle,
[00:23:12.980]the 500 and then keep getting smaller,
[00:23:15.640]those villages, right?
[00:23:16.860]So anything smaller,
[00:23:18.020]I think 800 is considered a village
[00:23:19.900]that would be somewhere in between
[00:23:22.300]the two middle red bars.
[00:23:23.860]But, you know, we had,
[00:23:26.540]a loss in anything under a thousand,
[00:23:28.640]all those red bars,
[00:23:29.520]communities less than a thousand people.
[00:23:31.220]And then there was all of these communities
[00:23:33.700]that were over a thousand people
[00:23:35.300]had an increase in their rate
[00:23:37.540]of population growth.
[00:23:38.740]Now notice that little blurb
[00:23:40.520]in the middle there
[00:23:41.340]of communities with populations
[00:23:43.700]between 5,000 and 10,000.
[00:23:45.920]And with Cabela's,
[00:23:47.980]this is where the Cabela's hit,
[00:23:49.480]really that he actually showed up
[00:23:51.780]and all the communities in Nebraska,
[00:23:53.580]that Cabela's hit really.
[00:23:54.980]And I don't know,
[00:23:56.520]I'm sure Jamie and Cheryl,
[00:23:57.960]what Sydney's actual loss was,
[00:24:01.460]but not only was it tough for Sydney,
[00:24:04.820]but it pulled down that whole category.
[00:24:06.880]And then Blair losing Dana College,
[00:24:09.080]if you guys remember,
[00:24:09.900]back in the early, late,
[00:24:12.640]I think Dana College,
[00:24:13.920]when did that close?
[00:24:15.160]It was like back in,
[00:24:16.980]I don't know, late 2000s.
[00:24:19.160]So Blair losing Dana College,
[00:24:21.500]and I think they might've lost
[00:24:22.480]a manufacturer or two, Blair did.
[00:24:24.300]And so,
[00:24:26.500]those two communities really pulled down
[00:24:28.620]that 5,000 to 10,000 sector.
[00:24:30.620]Do you guys want to chime in on that?
[00:24:32.400]Those from the Sydney area,
[00:24:33.700]on that particular,
[00:24:34.620]what was the estimated loss there?
[00:24:36.240]Well, Sean,
[00:24:40.940]it was not only the loss of community in numbers,
[00:24:44.120]and there was some,
[00:24:45.180]I mean, the numbers vary quite a bit,
[00:24:47.840]but it was also the pull of everybody else
[00:24:50.220]coming in to Sydney to work at Cabela's.
[00:24:53.020]And so it impacted a region,
[00:24:56.480]not just the community,
[00:24:58.240]but it definitely did that too.
[00:25:00.260]Yeah, so that's what that one's about.
[00:25:05.580]We'll go on to the next one.
[00:25:06.580]We'll talk a little bit more about that
[00:25:07.820]in the later slides as well,
[00:25:08.820]the economic development implications.
[00:25:10.300]Again, you can see in this slide
[00:25:14.780]that 5,000 to 10,000 category with Sydney
[00:25:18.540]was in various city size categories that achieved
[00:25:26.460]growth.
[00:25:26.860]There was a little bit of a dip there
[00:25:28.680]in the 5,000 to 10,000 community size one.
[00:25:32.060]But generally, most of the Blacks,
[00:25:36.680]which is the more recent census between 2010,
[00:25:39.180]I don't know how I like how David did this,
[00:25:42.600]but again, to clarify, the Black,
[00:25:44.640]which is when it says 2010s,
[00:25:46.420]basically they're talking about 2010 to 2020.
[00:25:49.560]That's what that means, the 2010s.
[00:25:51.460]The 2000s, that's talking about the census period
[00:25:55.020]between 2000.
[00:25:56.440]And so you can see by the difference
[00:25:59.600]between the gray and the black bars here on this,
[00:26:03.720]in most cases, except for the over 10,000,
[00:26:08.480]and they're in the very small,
[00:26:11.200]the villages less than 100,
[00:26:12.320]there was growth in almost all those different community sizes
[00:26:16.000]and all the categories,
[00:26:17.120]except for the very smallest, which is villages.
[00:26:20.340]The rate, we went down a little bit
[00:26:24.340]in our very small villages, less than 100.
[00:26:26.740]And then actually in the very biggest, 10,000 or more,
[00:26:29.820]that rate decreased just a bit there.
[00:26:33.160]But the biggest jump, and this is really interesting,
[00:26:35.920]you guys look there between 2,500 and 5,000 residents,
[00:26:39.100]that was a huge change.
[00:26:41.160]That communities of that size really took a big,
[00:26:47.040]almost doubled in rates in the last census.
[00:26:49.860]And I'd be curious as to having a conversation
[00:26:53.840]around that one, what you guys think,
[00:26:56.400]that's been in central and western Nebraska.
[00:26:58.780]I don't know if you guys want to do that now or later.
[00:27:01.020]Maybe we should come back to this particular one as well.
[00:27:05.320]But I'd like to have a conversation around
[00:27:07.340]what you guys think is going on with that big rate jump
[00:27:11.980]between those communities, between size 2,500 and 5,000.
[00:27:15.860]For now, let's move on and then we'll come back
[00:27:18.200]and kind of talk about this one.
[00:27:19.300]So this is another place, Mark.
[00:27:20.360]Go ahead, Jenny.
[00:27:22.980]See, like I said, I just covered all this.
[00:27:25.520]Okay.
[00:27:26.380]So this is, I mean, the next few slides here,
[00:27:28.160]we're going to talk about how these population changes were.
[00:27:32.460]And so the biggest increase in population was, again,
[00:27:38.720]due to, oh, one back there.
[00:27:40.800]So 74 counties had white population decline
[00:27:44.880]and persons of color increased.
[00:27:46.220]So out of our, what is it, 90, how many counties we had?
[00:27:49.380]90 something?
[00:27:50.000]93.
[00:27:50.720]93, thank you.
[00:27:52.560]Of our 93 counties, 74 had,
[00:27:56.360]the white population persons decrease
[00:27:58.200]and persons of color increase.
[00:28:00.800]In a few counties, you had both whites
[00:28:03.380]and persons of color increases.
[00:28:04.920]And again, those are along your big three,
[00:28:07.040]the Metro and then Kearney there.
[00:28:10.160]And then Howard County, St. Paul, interestingly,
[00:28:12.740]that's like basically a suburb of St. Paul
[00:28:15.800]is just most of their workforce is in Grand Island.
[00:28:18.760]They're in St. Paul, Howard County.
[00:28:21.300]Which has a lot of, with the plant there,
[00:28:25.800]a lot of diversity.
[00:28:26.340]There's a lot of diverse folks
[00:28:26.840]working at the Swift plant in Grand Island.
[00:28:29.820]And some also work there
[00:28:32.040]and commute from Howard County.
[00:28:34.060]But there you can see whites decreased
[00:28:37.040]and persons of color increased in 85 of the counties.
[00:28:39.540]That's almost the majority of the state here.
[00:28:41.520]So when we're talking about,
[00:28:43.200]while we're happy that Nebraska increased in population,
[00:28:45.720]we are very happy.
[00:28:46.860]It's definitely been more cited to the persons of color,
[00:28:50.860]the reason for that increase.
[00:28:52.140]And so we'll talk about that in the next slide
[00:28:54.640]and move on there.
[00:28:56.320]So of the 24 counties with population growth,
[00:29:00.180]16 increased only because persons of colors
[00:29:05.260]exceeded the decline in the non-whites.
[00:29:08.540]So when we go back to that,
[00:29:10.000]those last slides with those more populous counties
[00:29:14.140]and not so much for the rural rendezvous group,
[00:29:16.420]but that is only because the persons of color,
[00:29:21.920]the gains in the persons of colors,
[00:29:24.780]the non-Hispanic whites
[00:29:26.300]was more than the losses in the persons of white.
[00:29:29.460]So you can sort of see those particular counties.
[00:29:32.020]Obviously, Hall County with the Hispanic population growth
[00:29:36.460]had persons of color increase,
[00:29:39.320]the big, that's part of my area there,
[00:29:42.020]increase of 7,400 folks.
[00:29:46.920]So that's a big part of their increase right there.
[00:29:49.780]So in Hall County example right there,
[00:29:53.280]we had a loss of white folks,
[00:29:56.280]3,100 increase in 7,400 person colors.
[00:29:58.700]That was a great example.
[00:29:59.480]So I'm trying to look at this list.
[00:30:01.280]County's out West there for you guys,
[00:30:04.160]but we need to talk about any of that row around.
[00:30:09.140]Montague County, did you guys see on here at all?
[00:30:11.110]We had Thomas County, which is right down on the central Sandhills.
[00:30:15.250]Yeah, that's really pretty rural.
[00:30:17.810]We had a total population increase of 22 people.
[00:30:20.690]Again, that, you know, Deb, back to your hooker counter story,
[00:30:24.650]Thomas County is similar.
[00:30:25.930]It only takes, you know, six families.
[00:30:28.750]If you have a three-person on average, six times eight is 18 people, right?
[00:30:33.350]That's almost the whole population growth in Thomas County.
[00:30:37.290]And there you had 199 folks or, you know, sorry, 28 persons of color,
[00:30:42.450]but a loss of six, maybe a couple of families there in Thomas County.
[00:30:47.330]So that's a good example of it doesn't take much in those really small
[00:30:51.930]population counties to make an impact right there.
[00:30:55.430]So we'll move on to the next one, please.
[00:30:57.790]So if you guys really want to dig into this,
[00:31:00.570]you want to become a data nerd, the census has some really cool tools here.
[00:31:05.450]And, and Jenny, thank you for already.
[00:31:08.310]You already emailed these slides to folks, I think, right. Last week.
[00:31:12.170]Nope. I will today. I will post them too.
[00:31:15.670]It's also it's also posted on the Custer County extension website.
[00:31:22.050]This, this, this PowerPoint is so it's right. It's already,
[00:31:25.770]there's already a webpage webpage for it.
[00:31:27.710]And so if you kind of want to play around with your own counties,
[00:31:30.970]you can go to this this tinyurl.com.
[00:31:35.530]And then if you don't want to remember that or write it down now,
[00:31:38.610]you can kind of play around with this percent change.
[00:31:41.930]And you can see that these Nebraska and the Dakotas, we had a,
[00:31:46.910]we had a percent change. And this one in particular is Asian.
[00:31:51.310]And we also increase in an Asian alone increase there in that population.
[00:31:56.230]I'm not sure what's happening there.
[00:31:59.150]I know we had some of the Hmong population move in with some of the meat
[00:32:02.010]packing plants. That's in sort of the,
[00:32:04.510]the lay us the monk, the Hmong ethnic group is from lay us, I believe.
[00:32:08.410]And they kind of filled in with Minnesota and some of the Dakotas and some of
[00:32:12.650]the manufacturing areas.
[00:32:14.230]And you'd see even in Nebraska up in Northeast Nebraska.
[00:32:17.430]And I'm curious Deb and Jenny,
[00:32:21.030]if this is percent change Asian alone,
[00:32:24.190]it looks like pretty dark purple up there in your area.
[00:32:27.070]Do you guys have any insight in what's going on there?
[00:32:31.010]Or does it seem like there's an increase in your, and again,
[00:32:33.970]Asian includes Southeast Asia. What's going on there?
[00:32:37.210]Do you have any insights there?
[00:32:38.730]It doesn't affect Dawes County. So I really am not aware of what that is.
[00:32:44.870]Okay.
[00:32:45.730]And my guess is it's probably down on Southern Sioux County down along the
[00:32:50.170]river. But I don't know what it, what it is.
[00:32:53.150]Okay. Again, it doesn't take,
[00:32:56.510]but a couple of families in some of those rural counties to make, you know,
[00:32:59.890]like throw those percentages off.
[00:33:01.570]Sheridan County,
[00:33:02.850]which is just to the east of Dawes County that may be impacted by the meat
[00:33:07.390]packing plant there, open beef.
[00:33:09.290]My understanding though, is those are not even residents of Sheridan County.
[00:33:14.150]They come in and work for a week and then go back home.
[00:33:17.170]So there may have been some that found housing in Sheridan County and have
[00:33:21.810]stayed there, but I don't know what would be in Boxwood County.
[00:33:26.110]Chelsea, do you?
[00:33:26.950]Nope.
[00:33:32.570]Okay. Well, you guys can again, go play, right?
[00:33:36.110]This particular slide is, you know, Asian alone, not Hispanic or Latino.
[00:33:41.010]You can play with the different ethnic categories and your own counties if you
[00:33:46.110]want to. And so we can talk about that another time.
[00:33:49.590]If anyone played it after this, you guys can share a screen and we can,
[00:33:53.390]I'm welcome for somebody to try to try it.
[00:33:56.330]And if you want to play with it while I'm talking and then we get towards the
[00:33:59.670]end, we can talk a little bit. So, but I'm going to go on for now.
[00:34:02.490]If that's okay. And so when we talk about the workforce,
[00:34:05.290]I know my economic development friends,
[00:34:06.850]we got to talk about the future workforce here. And again,
[00:34:11.370]related to the Hispanic families tend to be a bit larger.
[00:34:15.130]And so with the growth in our Hispanic population between 2000 and 2010,
[00:34:20.930]there's definitely that's reflected here.
[00:34:24.290]The pop children under age 18 have risen seven,
[00:34:27.930]7.8% in those 12 counties. Again, that is,
[00:34:32.410]also tied to the Hispanic population increase in most of those counties.
[00:34:39.550]Again, Hispanic families tend to be a bit, a bit bigger.
[00:34:42.570]I think that makes sense to most folks. So yeah,
[00:34:49.010]I don't know what's going on there in Arthur County.
[00:34:51.370]Anybody got insights there? I, you know,
[00:34:56.510]the church of Latter-day Saints, they tend to have, they go,
[00:34:59.730]I know in a couple of cases where,
[00:35:02.330]some folks that were with the church LDS moved in and those, again,
[00:35:07.390]those rural County,
[00:35:07.990]it only takes like three or four of a big LDS families to move into town.
[00:35:12.110]And that can really shift that. You know what I mean?
[00:35:14.570]So I don't know if that was a case.
[00:35:16.450]Cause I know Stapleton had some LDS families that's in Logan County and,
[00:35:21.570]you know, they bring a lot of kids with them.
[00:35:23.490]And so that would impact something that,
[00:35:25.670]but that would have been Logan County and that's actually a decline,
[00:35:28.010]but I just wondered if that's what happened in Arthur County as well.
[00:35:31.230]Any insights,
[00:35:32.250]Sarah?
[00:35:32.410]I guess I,
[00:35:34.270]I was at the commissioner meeting in Arthur County last week and they did
[00:35:39.610]say they've had some younger people moving back to take over the ranches.
[00:35:44.090]Well, that's great.
[00:35:46.770]That might be,
[00:35:47.310]they might be bringing their kids with them if they're of that age.
[00:35:50.410]Okay.
[00:35:51.370]I know in where I live in Kearney, Buffalo County,
[00:35:54.910]Hall County, that most of that,
[00:35:57.150]the increase in children under 18 is related to our diversity and
[00:36:02.170]increase just bigger families in those areas.
[00:36:04.050]That's what's going on in the majority of those cases.
[00:36:06.590]So I kind of doubt that's Arthur, but maybe I'm wrong.
[00:36:10.110]We'll go on to the next one then.
[00:36:12.830]So this is a tough one, you guys.
[00:36:16.810]And I know I'm preaching to the choir with my economic development
[00:36:19.630]friends here, but our workforce,
[00:36:23.230]it kind of peaked out a year, you know, pre just pre COVID. Right.
[00:36:28.510]And so now
[00:36:32.090]with all the baby boomers retiring and there's not as many of me,
[00:36:36.510]I'm a Gen Xer. There's not very many of me. And,
[00:36:41.070]you know, the millennials are kind of a wishy-washy group.
[00:36:45.790]I know there's a few of you, a couple of you on the, on the call.
[00:36:50.290]So our workforce situation,
[00:36:52.010]at least for the next eight ish years is going to be on the decline. Right.
[00:36:57.530]And we're all feeling this. And, and,
[00:37:02.010]and you can see we're kind of peaked out a year or two ago and it's going to
[00:37:06.030]be continued to do that. And, you know,
[00:37:10.790]you guys know this,
[00:37:13.090]but this particular graph right here is probably the roughest of the,
[00:37:17.150]of the details that we got out of the census.
[00:37:19.610]And we'll come back to this one too. When I presented.
[00:37:24.110]Sean, I think there's, I think there's some encouragement though,
[00:37:28.130]in your previous slides where, where we beat the projected,
[00:37:31.930]projected growth levels.
[00:37:33.790]I do think there will continue to be a little bit of overlap from the,
[00:37:40.710]the pandemic realization that you can work from anywhere and,
[00:37:44.790]and there are more important things in life than exactly what your paycheck
[00:37:48.730]says. And, you know,
[00:37:49.890]some of those quality of life or livability issues,
[00:37:52.950]I think we're calling them now. I think there will be,
[00:37:55.550]I think that'll be as a little less of a,
[00:37:58.370]an issue if we continue to grow at the rates,
[00:38:01.850]that we did as opposed to what was projected.
[00:38:04.590]Yes. Thank you, Deb. And, you know, I was, I'm doing another,
[00:38:09.950]I'm on another project.
[00:38:11.090]We're doing a research study and one of the focus group members,
[00:38:15.310]I'm not going to say who it was again for confidentiality had said that we
[00:38:18.450]can be small, but happy, right?
[00:38:19.750]So there's nothing wrong with being small, but happy.
[00:38:23.470]As long as we're just, we have to cut off the reduction.
[00:38:26.790]We don't want to lose any more, right? Yeah.
[00:38:28.290]So we got to at least keep what we have and be small with happy and,
[00:38:31.770]and certain cases we might need to kind of grow a little bit more.
[00:38:34.770]So we'll come back to that a bit more. So, you know,
[00:38:39.230]nearly all counties are all like all County types.
[00:38:42.010]We'll see a decline in their prime age workforce. Again,
[00:38:45.390]that's 25 to 64 population. And the next eight years were, I guess,
[00:38:50.530]you know, six years for sure. Until some of those high schoolers,
[00:38:54.990]when millennials started, the millennials started having more kids, right?
[00:38:57.770]More than I did. I only have two kids,
[00:38:59.430]but the millennials started having a few more,
[00:39:01.690]and when they come back in, that's going to, like in 2020, 30,
[00:39:06.730]we're going to start to see an increase in the workforce when they start to
[00:39:09.510]enter population. But of course,
[00:39:11.430]the only counties not projected to lose workforce is the big three,
[00:39:15.910]you know, metro counties.
[00:39:17.230]The rest of us are going to be losing population.
[00:39:21.350]And unfortunately the far right slide there,
[00:39:25.630]the other 11 rural counties in Northeast,
[00:39:29.210]Northeast probably the biggest,
[00:39:31.610]he had, you know, declining.
[00:39:34.750]I said this before the decline of the aging baby boomers and,
[00:39:38.310]and out migration from our white population has made it kind of a,
[00:39:43.110]a struggle for those, for those counties.
[00:39:46.010]So let's,
[00:39:48.010]we'll talk a little bit about what to do about that in a little bit when we
[00:39:51.590]get to the data part. So,
[00:39:52.950]so one good thing to address this is that our net migration has improved.
[00:40:00.350]And I know this,
[00:40:01.530]the answer is political somewhat like folks, I'm not,
[00:40:05.730]I'm not going to make any conjecture, but you know,
[00:40:08.330]one other folks have said that one solution to the workforce challenges,
[00:40:12.470]you know, bringing folks in. And that's one solution to,
[00:40:16.290]I know that we're there's some Afghan refugees that are being resettled in
[00:40:21.690]the Lincoln area.
[00:40:22.530]And obviously the Hispanic population increasing is it adding to the
[00:40:27.370]workforce.
[00:40:27.830]But that's what's happening here is,
[00:40:31.450]we're seeing a net migration and most of that net migration is from
[00:40:34.970]immigration.
[00:40:36.230]That's the population happening.
[00:40:38.990]And you see that the net migration rate between 2000 and 2010 was two,
[00:40:43.970]was 2%.
[00:40:45.110]And that's 37,000 people right there on that,
[00:40:48.950]that last slide.
[00:40:50.390]And so some good news,
[00:40:53.330]but you can see that in the,
[00:40:56.110]in the little chart on the right,
[00:40:58.010]right.
[00:40:58.390]So in 2010,
[00:41:00.110]I'm just going to skip to the bottom,
[00:41:01.370]the persons of color net migration by race,
[00:41:04.770]90,000 persons of color,
[00:41:06.710]white people minus 52,000.
[00:41:08.490]That was in the last sentence.
[00:41:09.690]Right.
[00:41:09.970]So that's,
[00:41:12.290]what's even though Nebraska has increased,
[00:41:14.290]it's been,
[00:41:15.030]it's been,
[00:41:16.130]you know,
[00:41:16.570]it's mostly because of the,
[00:41:18.850]the person of color that,
[00:41:20.810]that has offsided,
[00:41:22.810]you know,
[00:41:23.530]or offset the losses in our,
[00:41:25.930]our white population.
[00:41:27.210]So we'll go on the next one here.
[00:41:31.290]So we're going to get into some census maps here on these next,
[00:41:33.510]those last few slides,
[00:41:34.650]right?
[00:41:34.990]Like how the census got into the,
[00:41:37.030]the,
[00:41:38.610]the maps here.
[00:41:39.890]And so I,
[00:41:41.570]I just gave you a preview of this in the first slide.
[00:41:44.330]So there's our old census boundaries after the 2000 census.
[00:41:48.570]And you can sort of see,
[00:41:50.690]it didn't affect the really our third district at all.
[00:41:54.390]The rural Ronnie view group.
[00:41:55.810]It was really around the,
[00:41:57.150]the,
[00:41:58.810]the,
[00:41:59.570]the counties that were on the,
[00:42:01.210]the edge of you can sort of see that it,
[00:42:04.070]it narrowed down when the last census,
[00:42:06.830]some of those counties.
[00:42:08.050]I think Jenny,
[00:42:09.790]if you would push another button,
[00:42:11.150]I think it might actually change again here.
[00:42:13.710]Yep.
[00:42:14.050]Keep going.
[00:42:14.650]So this is where the changes happened with the,
[00:42:19.310]the third district.
[00:42:20.970]So Adrian Smith lost,
[00:42:24.590]or actually he gained a few more counties in that district Smith,
[00:42:31.130]on the North and South end, right?
[00:42:32.570]Northeast Nebraska and Southeast Nebraska.
[00:42:34.370]And then I think it's Platten, Platten Polk County.
[00:42:37.750]So he got those or the third district, not he,
[00:42:40.590]the third district acquired or, or he lost a couple there,
[00:42:45.130]but then he gained,
[00:42:45.930]he gained there on the North and South end in that,
[00:42:50.330]in that third district with the, with the population changes.
[00:42:53.630]So you can see the bottom, the red in the 2020,
[00:42:57.610]the total population is a district one population.
[00:43:01.050]That's the, basically the, the, the, the areas,
[00:43:05.030]the donut surrounding Omaha district one includes Lincoln.
[00:43:08.730]It went up in population from six Oh eight to six 60 district two,
[00:43:14.770]which is Omaha that went up almost a hundred thousand.
[00:43:17.770]And then district three just went down like 8,000 Adrian Smith district to
[00:43:22.990]get our total population closer to 2 million. Be awesome.
[00:43:25.710]We have that 2 million. We're almost there. So,
[00:43:30.970]there you can sort of see those things. So we'll go on the next one,
[00:43:34.110]a couple more maps here.
[00:43:35.070]And so there's an overlap of the old map,
[00:43:41.250]which was the, I think the gray, right.
[00:43:46.750]And then if you hit it one more time, what's it going to do? Nope. Yep.
[00:43:51.010]One more time. Oh, okay. Nope. Yeah. Go back. So you had it. You're good.
[00:43:57.770]So that's just another way to sort of show,
[00:44:00.890]where it was with the county's laws you can sort of see in the northeast nebraska thurston burt and
[00:44:08.570]those counties they went those were in the in the old area and went to the new area so
[00:44:16.910]it doesn't really impact this much we'll move on here they have the big news and this is again you
[00:44:23.050]guys know this the big three counties that's douglas sarpy douglas sarpy lancaster counties
[00:44:29.610]this intersection happened somewhere in about 2004 right you can see where the the population
[00:44:38.050]of those three big counties surpassed the rest of nebraska the other 90 counties that that
[00:44:45.230]intersection happened in about 2004 where just three counties populations surpassed the rest
[00:44:51.590]of nebraska and that's sort of reflected in our unit cameral our 49 unit cameral seats
[00:44:59.050]right there i mean we actually had to lose right we had to we lost um the seat um
[00:45:05.610]was senator williams there and his seat out of gothenburg got split
[00:45:12.010]like half went north and half went south and so we'll we'll we'll kind of show that in the next
[00:45:17.290]slide here so i think this is an overlay yep so here you can sort of see um
[00:45:28.490]the the the new split i think the black lines um the colored background is the old unicameral areas
[00:45:38.730]and then with senator williams that district he's out of gothenburg if you can kind of see
[00:45:43.590]the blue there you guys custer dawson so when they split senator williams district
[00:45:48.870]that custer county went north into what's now tom brewer's district so 43 right and then what was
[00:45:57.930]dawson county that went south into i think i can't remember the senator in venango i just
[00:46:04.990]met him dan hughes is that right went down into that particular district dawson county went down
[00:46:09.670]there and so i think the senator hughes is on his way out um and so he's going to be or term
[00:46:16.030]limited rather right and so um so that was the the one unicameral split there was some minor
[00:46:23.730]changes there right out in scott's bluff you guys is that right
[00:46:27.370]so it looks like um there was a color shift with the line does that look correct or is that yeah i
[00:46:34.730]think um the one that was just scott's bluff county also now includes banner and kimball
[00:46:40.730]am i right on that that looks that looks correct there with the black line and then and then box
[00:46:46.010]county lost alliance lost um not lost but switched from brewer to erdman so they went from the 43rd
[00:46:53.990]to the 47th yeah yeah
[00:46:56.810]yeah so in your areas there were some some slight shifts there so and it looks like the black lines
[00:47:05.010]and brewers shifted a little because hooker tomics and fearson were up north and now they're down
[00:47:11.150]tied to north plat does that look right 42 there was some shifting there so
[00:47:16.910]do you guys have any insights on the implications there what's the next slide here jenny
[00:47:26.250]that's it yeah go back there so i i think two things um obviously senator brewers district
[00:47:32.790]continues to get bigger and bigger geographically which makes it extremely difficult for us to count
[00:47:38.250]on him coming to our events or to be able to get from you know one place to the other
[00:47:43.330]he spends more time in lincoln defending us than he does in the district visiting with us
[00:47:48.350]um and and so that's difficult for him so that compounds itself into
[00:47:55.690]who's going to run who's going to want to run for his seat when he turns out
[00:47:59.190]or now that uh erdman's district's even larger um all of those things where we're trying to
[00:48:05.790]talk somebody that that understands rural into running for those seats and what used to be
[00:48:11.270]scottsbluff county is now clear down to the colorado border um it makes it tough we do have
[00:48:18.450]lots of folks who's shown interest at least in the 48th district um
[00:48:25.130]but unfortunately none that as an economic developer i can say really has a lot of
[00:48:31.030]background quite frankly if star lael doesn't know who they are then they probably don't have
[00:48:37.610]any economic development background and so um that's a concern to me who who we recruit as well
[00:48:44.170]as um how the how the people that are currently in those seats get get the job done
[00:48:49.310]you know i was just to say you did after
[00:48:54.570]after i pitched this at the nrea conference senator williams basically said the same thing
[00:48:58.990]deb that and you know you guys know this that he basically encouraged more representation
[00:49:05.170]in leadership going he said the same thing that you did senator williams said the same exact thing
[00:49:10.550]when um when seats come up like a governor appointments to different public bodies
[00:49:15.610]we have to have local leaders and i guess there's a little bit of a pitch for a leadership
[00:49:20.390]development type program is this is a way for you to expose people to economic
[00:49:24.010]development that's a lot often what we do in a local leadership program is expose um those
[00:49:30.910]the people going through it to you guys economic development resources and what the needs are in
[00:49:36.490]the community and so i guess this is a good argument for getting folks tied into the local
[00:49:43.970]economic development resources needs whether that's a local leadership or appointment to
[00:49:49.090]start at least starting to run for a school board or something like that that have some
[00:49:53.950]necessary economic development resources and that's a good argument for getting folks
[00:49:53.990]knowledge of what the the business trends are right the workforce trends and and and we need
[00:50:00.950]you you guys to help with that part pull those folks in so this they can bring these issues
[00:50:07.430]because I know when I was just in Hall County they had to they were trying to work on a particular
[00:50:11.550]incentive for basically the rules to expand TIF to be used for non-profits and they wanted this
[00:50:19.210]to be done for a project in Hall County and this is a legislate they had to have someone you have
[00:50:23.970]that can pitch that and explain it to the senators right so Deb you're you're absolutely right I'm
[00:50:29.610]just gonna support and say that I said the same thing and the Senator Williams said the same thing
[00:50:34.470]if we only had somebody in our area that had legislative experience or state government
[00:50:41.950]experience and new economic development had been through a leadership program like Deb Cotter
[00:50:53.950]I'm not sure what you're hinting at I'm I'm thinking we're gonna run you is what we're gonna
[00:50:59.830]do well it's a tough decision for anyone to make and quite frankly um to have it change in the
[00:51:12.170]middle of of your term um is even more disturbing you know that the folks from Alliance who had
[00:51:20.110]just begun to to build a relationship with Senator Brewer now have a complaint
[00:51:23.930]completely different um problem ahead of them um I I don't know what the answer is but I'm telling
[00:51:31.470]you the difficulty is not only that we have fewer people out here to consider to run um they have
[00:51:38.850]less resources to run they have um all those obstacles and and so it makes it doubly difficult
[00:51:47.510]to find candidates but thanks anyway Mike
[00:51:52.670]you
[00:51:53.910]you can see in the little black boxes there that um it looks like district 47 um even after the
[00:52:04.010]shift of alliance it still decreased like two percent 2.3.5 percent and then even uh after
[00:52:10.990]Scott's Bluff kind of grew they added Banner and Kimball County it had a 0.4 percent increase it
[00:52:16.470]looks like but they also added two counties so it was the same you know just one county right
[00:52:21.810]and even after the big
[00:52:23.890]change in Cherry County and Brewers District it still went down 2.77 percent Mike up in your area
[00:52:30.030]that whole district area and then the North Platte District that went down four percent
[00:52:34.690]even though they added four counties to the north those lower population ones
[00:52:39.410]and then you know the one with Dan Hughes 44 in the southwest that went down two percent
[00:52:44.110]the Venango particular area there as well so that's I think we covered most of the
[00:52:53.870]the only exception there was the Scotts Bluff 48 and and that was because they they added two
[00:52:59.970]counties to it right so the rest were a little bit of a a decrease there so again Deb I think
[00:53:08.530]you guys want to have talk a little bit more if you want to go back to some of those other slides
[00:53:11.390]you have questions about some of this data again the summary here is the good news is that the
[00:53:16.470]population increased the bad news is that the population of the western half of Nebraska you're
[00:53:23.850]on this call that was not really why we the state increased you know with the state increased
[00:53:29.950]because of mostly you know immigrant populations in those larger metro the larger population
[00:53:37.650]counties and so we have to be creative about this workforce economic development challenges right
[00:53:42.250]and so I don't know what that means exactly I know I'm doing a program with Sandra about
[00:53:48.430]hiring employees here in a couple of weeks using social media and some different things to try
[00:53:53.830]and address it and so Mike I know we're going to pilot this program in Grand Island and Columbus
[00:54:00.150]but I'm going to bring it up to the Ord Broken Bow Cherry County area for e-communities
[00:54:05.050]basically a little record on finding employees for small retail and service so restaurants or
[00:54:12.490]contractors that are maybe trying to add an employer to that Sandra and Doris are piloting
[00:54:16.830]and then we're going to kind of pilot it and ferret it out so that's one where we're trying
[00:54:20.550]to address this workforce challenge I know that but
[00:54:23.810]are there others or discussion here I was going to say that we had a meeting and of course the
[00:54:31.150]NIDA conference is going to be in Valentine the 11th through the 13th of May and we talked with
[00:54:35.430]the education committee one of the things we were talking about on workforce is getting some
[00:54:41.630]information about robotics in the workplace and also about getting you know the the foreign
[00:54:48.050]workers to come in and fill some of those jobs that we need to have filled we've got people here
[00:54:52.670]that use them at the golf course
[00:54:53.790]and that kind of stuff so that's going to be i think a way to fill some of these jobs in rural
[00:55:00.390]nebraska but one of the bigger thing well we'll go along with that is accepting some of those
[00:55:06.470]workers and those changes in rural nebraska where we're not exactly great about change i'm i'm still
[00:55:13.130]having discussions today with trees on main street so yeah you're right back to the hooker county example
[00:55:23.770]that that was the the increase in the growth with some houses built around um the the golf course the
[00:55:30.330]big golf course in hooker county as well as the service employees that go around that enterprise
[00:55:34.770]that's why they had that big population increase in hooker county for sure so
[00:55:39.490]i gotta jump off here everybody sean that's some great information i'll look forward to seeing the
[00:55:47.990]connections on this to share with some of our ed board people and some other folks so thank you
[00:55:53.750]for putting that together and explaining some of those things some good some bad
[00:55:56.970]yeah i don't think any surprises in there to us but it's good to see it in print
[00:56:01.430]you're welcome like i said more detail on this to come if you can make it out to
[00:56:06.890]cec in columbus april 27 29 otherwise um we can have josie if you guys want to hear more
[00:56:12.650]about this we can have her come and speak to this group um some specific things if you'd like
[00:56:18.530]so the link to the cec uh link to the cec conference is
[00:56:23.730]actually in the chat and i will be sending that out um and as well as um a link to the
[00:56:29.470]these slides and the recording of this presentation so any last minute questions
[00:56:35.230]it's a lot to take in son will anyone be attending nita that might want to make this a table
[00:56:44.910]topic on on friday of the conference you know they said that i don't know if i have that
[00:56:50.790]i need to have that on my conference i hope i do
[00:56:53.710]i think it's the same time as our extension engagement event oh yes shoot
[00:57:00.850]um is that going to be in where is that at jamie is it like in lincoln or
[00:57:08.250]we don't know i assume it's in lincoln but i don't know yes it's in lincoln okay
[00:57:14.530]okay valentine will be more fun yes especially in may yeah last time i was up there at golf to
[00:57:23.690]the pine ridge was so much fun mike so uh but i do think we should we should pursue that chelsea
[00:57:31.630]to maybe see if there's someone um that could make a presentation or if or even if if someone
[00:57:38.130]could zoom in to do that because uh this is the it's not going away and and all of the efforts
[00:57:46.150]that nita has made to sort of collaborate with other statewide agencies
[00:57:53.670]we find ourselves um continuing to advocate for the truly rural stuff but even our numbers are
[00:58:01.730]much less than the numbers of quote developers or chamber people or whatever group you you decide to
[00:58:07.890]pick um we have to have continue to have that voice and so um the the stark realization of
[00:58:15.150]what those census numbers mean um we have a few folks in shatter and who kind of sat up and said
[00:58:20.850]what do you mean we lost population we haven't lost population
[00:58:23.650]in a long time hello yeah you lost 10 percent in in a 10-year time period so um
[00:58:32.290]maybe there's maybe there's someone within the the um what did you call him data nerd
[00:58:39.870]organization and jamie i think you guys helped out in the conversation i think your name is
[00:58:44.690]morgan that she may have i gotta follow up but i think she might have replaced david this morgan
[00:58:48.990]from cpar um and and she might be the person that could um i don't know if
[00:58:53.630]they can come in person but i'll reach out to josie and morgan at cpar and they're the data
[00:58:58.930]nerds and they can see if they can't come in person to valentine and see if they can't
[00:59:03.710]do it remotely so and sean chelsea's your gal she's the she's the agenda education
[00:59:10.490]i'm the sucker can't you see it right here it's under my hat she'll make sure that whoever you
[00:59:18.090]find is fun because we don't let people who aren't fun come to nita anymore thank you
[00:59:23.610]jamie i think um morgan actually reached out and asked the same same question you guys are asking
[00:59:28.950]how can cpar wants to know what else they can do to help so this is a great that'd be a great
[00:59:34.390]connection thank you yeah that's a wonderful let's see if uh i don't know if they'll be able to make
[00:59:39.970]it out in person i know that you know covid's better now i know david couldn't come out to
[00:59:45.050]your present or do the that's why i did pitch that nrea because david wasn't allowed to because
[00:59:53.590]and so um but i think i'm sure they've changed that so i uh i will follow up with morgan and
[00:59:59.470]josie at cpar or data nerds at cpar and see if they can't help you guys out chelsea so i'll let
[01:00:04.490]you know sounds good thanks all right guys we'll see you in a month look forward to it thank you
[01:00:13.950]thank you bye
[01:00:15.570]- Bye.
[01:00:16.410]Thank you.

The screen size you are trying to search captions on is too small!

You can always jump over to MediaHub and check it out there.

Comments

0 Comments

Nebraska Population Trends

Description

Searchable Transcript

Comments icon comment

Related Channels

Comments